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The rise and rise of public debt
Public debt continues to rise across advanced economies, creating economic and geopolitical risk exposures
Oct 20
•
David Skilling
7
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The rise and rise of public debt
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September 2024
Shifting macro risks
A slowing US economy is attracting significant attention; but China poses a more significant risk to the global economy
Sep 8
•
David Skilling
4
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Shifting macro risks
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August 2024
No summer calm...
The (northern) summer has been dominated by political and economic turbulence; expect more to come
Aug 16
•
David Skilling
1
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No summer calm...
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July 2024
Political regime change
Beyond the busy election calendar, structural changes in politics and policy are underway across advanced economies – with material economic…
Jul 12
•
David Skilling
6
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Political regime change
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June 2024
Financing the capex boom
The ability to finance the great reindustrialisation will be a key driver of national economic performance: only some economies are positioned to…
Jun 28
•
David Skilling
4
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Financing the capex boom
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Election risk ahead
Recent market volatility after elections illustrates the economic importance of political institutions; with implications for the US Presidential…
Jun 14
•
David Skilling
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Election risk ahead
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May 2024
Trade as geopolitics
Trade flows capture changes in the geopolitical context: global economic fragmentation continues to sharpen, driven by geopolitical rivalry
May 31
•
David Skilling
6
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Trade as geopolitics
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1
The great reindustrialisation
Investment is strengthening across advanced economies for economic & geopolitical reasons, with effects from commodity prices to macro policy …
May 17
•
David Skilling
10
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The great reindustrialisation
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Currency wars?
The strong USD is generating economic pressures around the world, with the potential for disruptive responses – reinforced by geopolitical rivalry
May 3
•
David Skilling
5
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Currency wars?
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April 2024
Global briefing: World trade/ Middle East/ Blinken in China/ Higher for longer/ Europe
Insights on global economic and geopolitical developments
Apr 26
•
David Skilling
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Global briefing: World trade/ Middle East/ Blinken in China/ Higher for longer/ Europe
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Is this time different?
A roaring 20s will require a much stronger economic recovery from Covid than from the global financial crisis. What are the chances?
Apr 19
•
David Skilling
4
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Is this time different?
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Global briefing: Higher for longer/ Fault lines/ Excess capacity/ ASEAN/ Global economic fragmentation
Insights on global economic and geopolitical developments
Apr 12
•
David Skilling
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Global briefing: Higher for longer/ Fault lines/ Excess capacity/ ASEAN/ Global economic fragmentation
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